Should You Buy or Lease Your Next Car?

If you are considering purchasing a new car, this question is likely to be asked during the process.  Author Rick Edelman of Edelman Financial Services presents this great analysis of the best way to go about the decision–complete with examples. Let’s take the example of a car whose sticker price is $34,000.  To buy it, with a 7% four-year loan and a down payment of 20% ($6,800), your payment would be $650 a month.

However, if you were to lease instead, you would pay a one-month refundable security deposit and your payment would be $450 a month.

Thus, leasing would save you $200 a month, and you would need only $450 down, not $6,800 (plus, in both cases, sales tax), this is why leasing is so popular.

Why Lease Payments Are So Cheap

Economically speaking, cars consist of three parts:  equity (ownership), depreciation (loss in value over time), and interest expense (on the loan, if any).  If you finance the purchase of a car, you pay for all three parts, and you will own the vehicle in, say, four years.  But if you lease, you are paying only for use of the vehicle.  Therefore, you pay for the car’s depreciation and interest, not the equity, and you return the car at the end of the lease term.  This is why monthly lease payments are lower than purchase payments.  Leasing, quite simply, is the difference between owning a car and renting one.

Why would a dealer want you to rent (i.e., lease)?  It’s simple:  If you lease the car, you pay $450 a month for four years. Then you give the car back, giving the dealer the chance to resell it.  In other words, the dealer gets to sell the same car twice!

This means the dealer doesn’t have to charge you (the first buyer) the full $34,000; you pay only the difference between what the car is worth today ($34,000) and what it will be worth four years from now.  The second buyer pays the rest at that time.

Say the dealer expects this $34,000 car to be worth $15,200 in four years.  He would therefore want you to pay $18,800 and the second buyer to pay $15,200.  Thus, your lease payments would be based upon just $18,800, whereas your payments to buy would be based on the full $34,000.  That’s why your monthly lease payments are $450 instead of $650.  When the dealer resells the car in four years, he’ll get the other $15,200.

The Key Factor:  Residual Value

Leasing, then, features lower monthly payments because dealers expect the car to retain a certain value.  In reality, though, lease rates are not based on what the car’s residual value will be, but on what the dealer pretends it will be.

That’s why lease payments often are so attractive.  If, according to industry standards, a $40,000 will be worth only $12,000 in four years, the dealer would have to base your lease on $28,000 worth of depreciation.  That would make the lease payment absurdly high, and no one would take the deal.  So the dealer pretends that the residual value will be $30,000, leading to lower, more attractive, lease payments.  This game is dangerous for the dealer, but a bargain for you.

The key to the cost of leasing, then, is the “residual value,” or what the dealer says the car will be worth at the end of the lease.  Expensive cars tend to offer better lease deals than cheaper cars, for they retain more of their value, and the higher the residual value, the lower your lease payments.

Three Money-Saving Tips When Leasing:

As with most financial transactions, success or failure is found in the fine print.  Here are three items to keep in mind:

Money-Saving Tip #1:  Make Sure You Have Gap Insurance

This is perhaps the single most important–and most overlooked–element of leasing.

Say your contract says the car’s residual value at the end of the lease will be $15,200, but the car’s actual value will be only $10,000.  If you wreck the car three months before your lease expires, guess how much your insurance company will pay in the settlement?

The insurer will pay the dealer (who owns the car) the actual market value, which is $10,000.  But your contract says the residual value is $15,200.  That means you are responsible for the other $5,200.

This “gap” between the lease contract’s stated residual value and the car’s actual value has caused many lessees to incur huge losses due to accidents.

The solution:  Make sure your lease contract includes “gap insurance”–even if you have to pay extra for it, for being without it is like driving without insurance.

Money-Saving Tip #2:  Avoid the Cap Cost Reduction

When someone buys a car, the more money he puts down, the less his monthly payments.  Similarly, to lower your lease payments, you can make a cap cost reduction, which is a large, one-time payment made at the start of the lease.  And as with a down payment, the more you pay in cap (short for capitalized) cost reductions, the lower your monthly payments.  However, this is were the similarity ends.

Remember when leasing, you do not own the car.  Thus, if you make a cap cost reduction, you are make a down payment on property that is not yours.  Never do that–no matter how much the dealer wants you to, and no matter how much it reduces your monthly payments–for in the long run, you are throwing your money away.  And the fun might not be so long, either: Steve leased a $25,000 car and paid $3,000 in cap costs.   Two months later, he totaled the car.  Since he didn’t own the car, his insurer repaid the dealer $22,000; Steve lost his $3,000.

Paying cap costs is a waste even if you don’t wreck the car.  Why?  Because only the reason dealers want you to pay it is so they can offer you a monthly payment that sounds really low.

Would you visit a dealer who advertised a $20,000 car for just $199 a month?  You bet! But would you get excited about having to pay $263 per month for the same car?  Not likely.  And that’s why dealers want you to pay a cap cost reduction.  You see, in one recent ad, a car dealer offered a $20,000 car fir $199 per month for 24 months with a cap cost reduction of $1,525. Buy paying $199 per month with $1,525 down is the same as pay $263 per month with no cap cost reduction.  If $263 doesn’t sound so hot (and it’s not), then the other deal isn’t so hot, either.

Instead of paying a cap cost reduction to lower your payments, ask the dealer to let you make additional security deposits. This will have the same effect as a cap cost reduction, except you’ll get the deposit back when you return the car.

Money-Saving Tip #3:  Never Buy Optional Equipment in a Car You’re Not Buying

When leasing, you must keep in mind that you don’t own the car.  That means you must be careful when agreeing to options that the dealer offers you.  Take Carmen for example. She worked out a fine deal on a car–$250 per month for 36 months, with no cap cost reduction.  But then she decided to have the dealer install mats, fancier rims, an iPod adapter, and a navigation system.  The cost of all these items came to $1,800, so the dealer added $50 to the monthly payment.  This not only made sense to Carmen, since $50 per month for $36 months is $1,800, she thought it was a heck of a deal–because although she would be paying for the options over three years, the dealer did not add in any interest.

It was a deal all right–but for the dealer, not Carmen.  When the lease expired three years later, Carmen returned the car–and with it, the mats, rims, iPod adapter, and navigation system.  Carmen paid the full cost of owning those items, but she only rented them. Dumb move, Carmen.

What she should have done is incorporated the cost of the options into the overall price of the car, and then negotiated the lease price.  That way, she’d be renting the options along with the rest of the car.

Remember:  When you lease, you are renting the car and everything in it.  Don’t pay the costs of ownership when you lease.

Leasing and Taxes

When leasing, you are liable for sales tax even though you do not own the car.  If your state levies personal property tax, you’ll have to pay this, too.  But to entice you to lease, many dealers offer to pay the property tax for you.  Shop around for the best deal.

To Lease or Not to Lease:  Here Is the Answer:

To determine whether you should buy or lease, answer these two simple questions:

1.  How many miles do you drive per year?

In most leases, you are allowed to drive only 10,000 to 15,000 miles per year, 40,000 to 60,000 miles on a four-year lease.  Anything more will cost you up to 25 cents per mile. As a result, unless you are among the relatively small number of people who drive fewer than 10,000 miles a year, it will be cheaper for you to negotiate a more expensive lease with a higher mileage limit than for you to pay 25 cents for every mile over the limit you drive.  If you know you’ll drive significantly fewer miles than 10,000 to 15,000 per year, you can negotiate a lower lease payment.

2.  How long do you generally keep your car?

Leasing is best for people who keep their cars for four years or less.  Remember that when leasing, you never enjoy a payment-free month.  At the end of the lease, you must turn in the car and get a new one, with a new lease or purchase contract.

Thus, if you like to keep cars for seven or eight years, you’ll find that, over the long run, leasing is much more expensive than buying.

Don’t Lease Beyond the Car’s Warranty

If you choose to lease, don’t lease for a term beyond the car’s warranty.  If the car comes with a two-year bumper-to-bumper warranty, for example, get a two-year lease. By opting for a three-year lease, you could be stuck with huge repair bills in year three–on a car you don’t own!

Leasing for Business

Leasing makes great sense for business, regardless of how many miles you drive, because you are allowed to deduct the cost as a business expense.  (If you buy a car for business, you must depreciate it instead.)

Since cars are one of the largest purchases you’ll make, talk with your financial advisor before you decide whether to buy or lease, how much to put down, and whether or not you should finance.  The right decision can save you thousands.

Source:  Edelman Financial Services

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